Future directions in vocational services for trainable mentally retarded people in Newfoundland and Labrador : a Delphi study

Hillier, Charles R. (1982) Future directions in vocational services for trainable mentally retarded people in Newfoundland and Labrador : a Delphi study. Masters thesis, Memorial University of Newfoundland.

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Abstract

This research study derived consensus viewpoints from a heterogeneous group of service providers regarding future developments in the field of vocational services for trainable mentally retarded people in Newfoundland and Labrador. -- The study used the Delphi technique, a predictive or forecasting device used by futurists, to survey and investigate future policy in this field. The technique was carried out in three rounds using anonymity of respondents, statistical group response and iteration, and controlled feedback to arrive at a numerical, descriptive prediction of futures that reflect central tendency opinion. -- The results of the study revealed that convergence of opinion did take place over the three rounds of the study. Average quartile difference and variance around the mean quartile difference were used as statistical measures to determine convergence. -- In general, the panel expected that a variety of very desirable events could occur in this field by 1995; however, they were less optimistic regarding the feasibility of some of these events. For example, they viewed the provision of a range of employment options and a continuum of vocational services as highly desirable, but questioned their feasibility for the entire province. They also expected that greater emphasis will be placed on vocational programming in both secondary and vocational schools; however, they further stressed that the feasibility of this would be largely affected by the degree of cooperation between vocational and special education, as well as the attitudes of resource people, parents, employers and the general public. The panelists also considered their assuming responsibility for every individual's life career development as a desirable concept, but further emphasized that this concept must be explored more fully and that they should not accept total responsibility.

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